Warm, humid mid-August conditions over the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average seasonal temperatures, keep Central Park minimums centered near 71–74°F for August 13. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show partly cloudy skies with only modest overnight radiative cooling, supporting the near-even market split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that can limit or enhance longwave heat loss, dew-point levels near 68–70°F that set a floor on cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing. Any late-day convection or increased moisture could nudge the low slightly lower into the 70–71°F range, while clearer skies would favor the upper side of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 13?
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
70-71°F 20%
76-77°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
70-71°F 20%
76-77°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
61°F or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$42 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$42 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$150 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$152 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$823 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$714 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$90 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$420 Vol.
1%
80°F or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm, humid mid-August conditions over the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average seasonal temperatures, keep Central Park minimums centered near 71–74°F for August 13. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show partly cloudy skies with only modest overnight radiative cooling, supporting the near-even market split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that can limit or enhance longwave heat loss, dew-point levels near 68–70°F that set a floor on cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing. Any late-day convection or increased moisture could nudge the low slightly lower into the 70–71°F range, while clearer skies would favor the upper side of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,507End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm, humid mid-August conditions over the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average seasonal temperatures, keep Central Park minimums centered near 71–74°F for August 13. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show partly cloudy skies with only modest overnight radiative cooling, supporting the near-even market split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that can limit or enhance longwave heat loss, dew-point levels near 68–70°F that set a floor on cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing. Any late-day convection or increased moisture could nudge the low slightly lower into the 70–71°F range, while clearer skies would favor the upper side of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,507End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warm, humid mid-August conditions over the Northeast, driven by southerly flow and above-average seasonal temperatures, keep Central Park minimums centered near 71–74°F for August 13. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show partly cloudy skies with only modest overnight radiative cooling, supporting the near-even market split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that can limit or enhance longwave heat loss, dew-point levels near 68–70°F that set a floor on cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing. Any late-day convection or increased moisture could nudge the low slightly lower into the 70–71°F range, while clearer skies would favor the upper side of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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