Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an overnight low near 75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the broader August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center favoring above-average temperatures, as regional highs have recently reached the mid-80s to low 90s with minimal frontal passages to introduce cooler air. Historical August normals near 70°F underscore the current anomaly, though forecast uncertainty remains tied to any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more cooling toward the low 70s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 29%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 29%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$363 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$22 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$58 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$58 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$24 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$444 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$543 Vol.
43%
76-77°F
$14 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$60 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$260 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$97 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an overnight low near 75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the broader August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center favoring above-average temperatures, as regional highs have recently reached the mid-80s to low 90s with minimal frontal passages to introduce cooler air. Historical August normals near 70°F underscore the current anomaly, though forecast uncertainty remains tied to any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more cooling toward the low 70s.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,943End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an overnight low near 75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the broader August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center favoring above-average temperatures, as regional highs have recently reached the mid-80s to low 90s with minimal frontal passages to introduce cooler air. Historical August normals near 70°F underscore the current anomaly, though forecast uncertainty remains tied to any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more cooling toward the low 70s.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,943End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an overnight low near 75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the broader August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center favoring above-average temperatures, as regional highs have recently reached the mid-80s to low 90s with minimal frontal passages to introduce cooler air. Historical August normals near 70°F underscore the current anomaly, though forecast uncertainty remains tied to any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more cooling toward the low 70s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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