Current forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and the National Weather Service indicate a heatwave will keep Paris minimum temperatures on August 13 near 20–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, warm southeasterly flow, and the urban heat island effect that limits nocturnal cooling. Model consensus shows little overnight drop from daytime peaks near 37–38°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate readings. Trader positioning around 20–21°C reflects this consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized variations in official station data used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
21°C 35%
20°C 33%
19°C 15%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
15%
20°C
33%
21°C
35%
22°C
8%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 35%
20°C 33%
19°C 15%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$621 Vol.
3%
19°C
$415 Vol.
15%
20°C
$976 Vol.
33%
21°C
$757 Vol.
35%
22°C
$334 Vol.
8%
23°C
$218 Vol.
9%
24°C
$549 Vol.
1%
25°C
$626 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and the National Weather Service indicate a heatwave will keep Paris minimum temperatures on August 13 near 20–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, warm southeasterly flow, and the urban heat island effect that limits nocturnal cooling. Model consensus shows little overnight drop from daytime peaks near 37–38°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate readings. Trader positioning around 20–21°C reflects this consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized variations in official station data used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,197End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and the National Weather Service indicate a heatwave will keep Paris minimum temperatures on August 13 near 20–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, warm southeasterly flow, and the urban heat island effect that limits nocturnal cooling. Model consensus shows little overnight drop from daytime peaks near 37–38°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate readings. Trader positioning around 20–21°C reflects this consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized variations in official station data used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,197End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and the National Weather Service indicate a heatwave will keep Paris minimum temperatures on August 13 near 20–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, warm southeasterly flow, and the urban heat island effect that limits nocturnal cooling. Model consensus shows little overnight drop from daytime peaks near 37–38°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate readings. Trader positioning around 20–21°C reflects this consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized variations in official station data used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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