Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 project an overnight low near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate northwest winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling under the subtropical monsoon regime. Multiple model runs align on this range, consistent with early September climatology where average lows hover around 24°C amid transitioning seasonal patterns. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 23–25°C outcomes because minor variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain lower absent any incoming tropical systems or sudden clear skies. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely refine these details before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?
25°C 100%
23°C 94%
24°C 93%
20°C or below 84%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
84%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
94%
24°C
93%
25°C
100%
26°C
84%
27°C
47%
28°C
23%
29°C
48%
30°C or higher
48%
25°C 100%
23°C 94%
24°C 93%
20°C or below 84%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
84%
21°C
$5 Vol.
18%
22°C
$5 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
94%
24°C
$0 Vol.
93%
25°C
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C
$0 Vol.
84%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$5 Vol.
48%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 project an overnight low near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate northwest winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling under the subtropical monsoon regime. Multiple model runs align on this range, consistent with early September climatology where average lows hover around 24°C amid transitioning seasonal patterns. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 23–25°C outcomes because minor variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain lower absent any incoming tropical systems or sudden clear skies. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely refine these details before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 project an overnight low near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate northwest winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling under the subtropical monsoon regime. Multiple model runs align on this range, consistent with early September climatology where average lows hover around 24°C amid transitioning seasonal patterns. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 23–25°C outcomes because minor variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain lower absent any incoming tropical systems or sudden clear skies. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely refine these details before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on September 2 project an overnight low near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate northwest winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling under the subtropical monsoon regime. Multiple model runs align on this range, consistent with early September climatology where average lows hover around 24°C amid transitioning seasonal patterns. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 23–25°C outcomes because minor variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain lower absent any incoming tropical systems or sudden clear skies. Upcoming model updates from regional agencies will likely refine these details before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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