**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature in Taipei on October 10 of 23–24°C, driven by the strengthening northeast monsoon bringing steady ENE winds of 10–15 km/h, high humidity near 85%, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Model runs from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international guidance show overnight lows stabilizing in the low 20s °C after daytime highs near 27–28°C, with light drizzle possible further moderating surface temperatures through reduced insolation and enhanced mixing in the boundary layer. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C (each near 45.5%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum—whether it occurs pre-dawn under clearer intervals or later amid lingering clouds—while historical October climatology for Taipei supports averages near 23°C with low variance absent a strong cold surge. No major model divergence or sudden synoptic shift has emerged in the past 24 hours, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 26°C at low probabilities. Traders will monitor the final 00–06 UTC observations on October 10 for resolution.