Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies, light variable winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling expected to produce an overnight low near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on September 2. High humidity (80–90% overnight) and proximity to the sea moderate the drop, while urban effects and exact timing of the minimum introduce small uncertainties across ensemble runs. Trader sentiment remains balanced between the two leading outcomes because current guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes absent any significant synoptic shift. Official station measurements will determine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
23°C 95%
27°C 95%
28°C 95%
22°C 89%
19°C or below
78%
20°C
5%
21°C
46%
22°C
89%
23°C
95%
24°C
49%
25°C
51%
26°C
49%
27°C
95%
28°C
95%
29°C or higher
6%
23°C 95%
27°C 95%
28°C 95%
22°C 89%
19°C or below
78%
20°C
5%
21°C
46%
22°C
89%
23°C
95%
24°C
49%
25°C
51%
26°C
49%
27°C
95%
28°C
95%
29°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies, light variable winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling expected to produce an overnight low near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on September 2. High humidity (80–90% overnight) and proximity to the sea moderate the drop, while urban effects and exact timing of the minimum introduce small uncertainties across ensemble runs. Trader sentiment remains balanced between the two leading outcomes because current guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes absent any significant synoptic shift. Official station measurements will determine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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