Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 indicate a nighttime low near 25–27°C amid a warm, humid air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies show minimal overnight drops from daytime highs around 30–33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where urban heat retention and high dew points often hold minima above 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighing the potential for slightly clearer conditions favoring the lower end. No significant frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
27°C 6%
23°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
27°C 6%
23°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$21 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$63 Vol.
5%
23°C
$94 Vol.
5%
24°C
$69 Vol.
4%
25°C
$421 Vol.
50%
26°C
$234 Vol.
41%
27°C
$26 Vol.
6%
28°C
$26 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 indicate a nighttime low near 25–27°C amid a warm, humid air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies show minimal overnight drops from daytime highs around 30–33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where urban heat retention and high dew points often hold minima above 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighing the potential for slightly clearer conditions favoring the lower end. No significant frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$969End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 indicate a nighttime low near 25–27°C amid a warm, humid air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies show minimal overnight drops from daytime highs around 30–33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where urban heat retention and high dew points often hold minima above 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighing the potential for slightly clearer conditions favoring the lower end. No significant frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$969End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 indicate a nighttime low near 25–27°C amid a warm, humid air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, limiting radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies show minimal overnight drops from daytime highs around 30–33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where urban heat retention and high dew points often hold minima above 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighing the potential for slightly clearer conditions favoring the lower end. No significant frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions