Lyntris, a defense technology firm formed in 2026 via Trive Capital's combination of Accelint and Vitesse, filed its S-1/A on August 10 targeting an IPO of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $2.4 billion at the midpoint and up to $2.53 billion at the high end. Last-twelve-month revenue of approximately $451 million against a modest net loss provides baseline fundamentals amid robust investor appetite for defense-sector listings. With trading slated to begin around August 19 on the NYSE, final pricing, allocation demand, and initial trading performance represent the key swing factors that could settle outcomes between the closely matched $2B–$2.5B and $2.5B–$3B buckets. The heavy secondary component further underscores typical post-IPO dynamics and valuation uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.5B-$3B 35%
$2B-$2.5B 33%
$3B-$3.5B 8%
<$2B 6%
$10,570 Vol.
$10,570 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
<$2B
6%
$2B-$2.5B
33%
$2.5B-$3B
35%
$3B-$3.5B
8%
$3.5B-$4B
5%
$4B+
4%
No IPO before October 2026
1%
$2.5B-$3B 35%
$2B-$2.5B 33%
$3B-$3.5B 8%
<$2B 6%
$10,570 Vol.
$10,570 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
<$2B
$1,696 Vol.
6%
$2B-$2.5B
$1,734 Vol.
33%
$2.5B-$3B
$1,898 Vol.
35%
$3B-$3.5B
$2,851 Vol.
8%
$3.5B-$4B
$1,250 Vol.
5%
$4B+
$751 Vol.
4%
No IPO before October 2026
$391 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Lyntris, a defense technology firm formed in 2026 via Trive Capital's combination of Accelint and Vitesse, filed its S-1/A on August 10 targeting an IPO of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $2.4 billion at the midpoint and up to $2.53 billion at the high end. Last-twelve-month revenue of approximately $451 million against a modest net loss provides baseline fundamentals amid robust investor appetite for defense-sector listings. With trading slated to begin around August 19 on the NYSE, final pricing, allocation demand, and initial trading performance represent the key swing factors that could settle outcomes between the closely matched $2B–$2.5B and $2.5B–$3B buckets. The heavy secondary component further underscores typical post-IPO dynamics and valuation uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ET
Volume
$10,570End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Lyntris, a defense technology firm formed in 2026 via Trive Capital's combination of Accelint and Vitesse, filed its S-1/A on August 10 targeting an IPO of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $2.4 billion at the midpoint and up to $2.53 billion at the high end. Last-twelve-month revenue of approximately $451 million against a modest net loss provides baseline fundamentals amid robust investor appetite for defense-sector listings. With trading slated to begin around August 19 on the NYSE, final pricing, allocation demand, and initial trading performance represent the key swing factors that could settle outcomes between the closely matched $2B–$2.5B and $2.5B–$3B buckets. The heavy secondary component further underscores typical post-IPO dynamics and valuation uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$10,570End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lyntris, a defense technology firm formed in 2026 via Trive Capital's combination of Accelint and Vitesse, filed its S-1/A on August 10 targeting an IPO of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-IPO market capitalization of roughly $2.4 billion at the midpoint and up to $2.53 billion at the high end. Last-twelve-month revenue of approximately $451 million against a modest net loss provides baseline fundamentals amid robust investor appetite for defense-sector listings. With trading slated to begin around August 19 on the NYSE, final pricing, allocation demand, and initial trading performance represent the key swing factors that could settle outcomes between the closely matched $2B–$2.5B and $2.5B–$3B buckets. The heavy secondary component further underscores typical post-IPO dynamics and valuation uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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