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Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Ed Markey 72%

Seth Moulton 25%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Polymarket

$13,312 Vol.

Ed Markey 72%

Seth Moulton 25%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Polymarket

$13,312 Vol.

Ed Markey

$6,028 Vol.

72%

Seth Moulton

$4,065 Vol.

25%

Alexander Rikleen

$1,339 Vol.

1%

Ayanna Pressley

$1,881 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, supported by his decades of name recognition, strong fundraising, and established voter base in a state where sitting senators rarely lose renomination. Recent Emerson College polling shows Markey ahead of Rep. Seth Moulton by five points at 37% to 32%, a narrower margin than earlier surveys that had the challenger trailing by double digits. Moulton's campaign emphasizes generational change and appeals to voters seeking fresher leadership, yet undecided voters remain substantial at nearly 30%. Lower-polling candidates such as Alexander Rikleen and Rep. Ayanna Pressley have yet to register meaningful traction. The September primary date leaves room for further shifts ahead of the September 1 vote.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,312
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, supported by his decades of name recognition, strong fundraising, and established voter base in a state where sitting senators rarely lose renomination. Recent Emerson College polling shows Markey ahead of Rep. Seth Moulton by five points at 37% to 32%, a narrower margin than earlier surveys that had the challenger trailing by double digits. Moulton's campaign emphasizes generational change and appeals to voters seeking fresher leadership, yet undecided voters remain substantial at nearly 30%. Lower-polling candidates such as Alexander Rikleen and Rep. Ayanna Pressley have yet to register meaningful traction. The September primary date leaves room for further shifts ahead of the September 1 vote.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,312
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ed Markey" at 72%, followed by "Seth Moulton" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $13.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Ed Markey" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Seth Moulton" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.