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Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

$12,678 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,678 Vol.

Chris Pappas

$7,973 Vol.

92%

Karishma Manzur

$4,705 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Chris Pappas at 92% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Democratic Senate primary on September 8, driven by his commanding 62.5% lead in the RealClearPolling average through late April, including a UNH survey showing 61% support among likely primary voters. As the popular NH-01 incumbent representative in an open seat race following Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, Pappas benefits from superior fundraising—holding a cash edge even over GOP rivals—and strong establishment backing. Progressive challenger Karishma Manzur trails at 13% in averages despite recent protests criticizing donor influences, while state Rep. Jared Sullivan polls at just 1.5%. Scenarios to upend this include a major Pappas scandal, viral grassroots momentum for a rival, or unexpected endorsements before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,678
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Chris Pappas at 92% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Democratic Senate primary on September 8, driven by his commanding 62.5% lead in the RealClearPolling average through late April, including a UNH survey showing 61% support among likely primary voters. As the popular NH-01 incumbent representative in an open seat race following Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, Pappas benefits from superior fundraising—holding a cash edge even over GOP rivals—and strong establishment backing. Progressive challenger Karishma Manzur trails at 13% in averages despite recent protests criticizing donor influences, while state Rep. Jared Sullivan polls at just 1.5%. Scenarios to upend this include a major Pappas scandal, viral grassroots momentum for a rival, or unexpected endorsements before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,678
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Pappas" at 92%, followed by "Karishma Manzur" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Chris Pappas" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karishma Manzur" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.