Cuba's one-party system and constitutional framework strongly favor leadership continuity, with Miguel Díaz-Canel serving as both President and First Secretary of the Communist Party through at least the current National Assembly term. Recent official activities, including economic reform planning, infrastructure inspections, and diplomatic engagements through mid-2026, show him actively directing government operations amid fuel shortages, power outages, and U.S. sanctions. No institutional signals of transition have emerged, though Raúl Castro remains a symbolic figure and external pressures, including reported U.S. diplomatic outreach, continue without producing verified shifts. Trader consensus on removal timelines typically reflects these structural barriers and the absence of sudden catalysts such as party congress votes or health-related vacancies.