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Politics·Mexico

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

icon for Querétaro Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 41%

Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri 21.1%

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 17%

Santiago Nieto Castillo 7.4%

Polymarket

$11,476 Vol.

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 41%

Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri 21.1%

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 17%

Santiago Nieto Castillo 7.4%

Polymarket

$11,476 Vol.

icon for Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera

$1,939 Vol.

41%

icon for Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri

Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri

$245 Vol.

21%

icon for Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero

$3,178 Vol.

17%

icon for Santiago Nieto Castillo

Santiago Nieto Castillo

$253 Vol.

7%

icon for Laura Patricia Polo Herrera

Laura Patricia Polo Herrera

$275 Vol.

5%

icon for Teresa Calzada Rovirosa

Teresa Calzada Rovirosa

$188 Vol.

4%

icon for Abigail Arredondo Ramos

Abigail Arredondo Ramos

$181 Vol.

3%

icon for Manuel Garrido Patrón

Manuel Garrido Patrón

$694 Vol.

2%

icon for Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez

Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez

$242 Vol.

2%

icon for Paulina Aguado Romero

Paulina Aguado Romero

$250 Vol.

2%

icon for Josué Guerrero Trápala

Josué Guerrero Trápala

$181 Vol.

1%

icon for Gilberto Herrera Ruiz

Gilberto Herrera Ruiz

$169 Vol.

11%

icon for Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero

Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero

$228 Vol.

8%

icon for Paul Ospital Carrera

Paul Ospital Carrera

$191 Vol.

1%

icon for José María Tapia Franco

José María Tapia Franco

$191 Vol.

1%

icon for Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez

Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez

$177 Vol.

1%

icon for Ricardo Astudillo Suárez

Ricardo Astudillo Suárez

$189 Vol.

1%

icon for Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez

Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez

$255 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Mauro Ramírez González

Mario Mauro Ramírez González

$600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Agustín Hernández Ortiz

Agustín Hernández Ortiz

$189 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes

Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes

$1,659 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The unresolved PAN internal nomination process between frontrunners Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera and Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero keeps the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial race tight, with traders assigning Macías the highest probability at 40.5% amid shifting internal surveys that show no decisive lead. As term-limited incumbent Mauricio Kuri exits, party timelines, candidate registration deadlines, and early preference polling among PAN voters sustain competitive implied probabilities. Opposition figures aligned with Morena trail in available data, limiting separation until full nominees are confirmed. General-election factors such as state economic performance, security indicators, and turnout dynamics among key voting blocs could widen gaps once the field narrows ahead of the June 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$11,476
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The unresolved PAN internal nomination process between frontrunners Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera and Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero keeps the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial race tight, with traders assigning Macías the highest probability at 40.5% amid shifting internal surveys that show no decisive lead. As term-limited incumbent Mauricio Kuri exits, party timelines, candidate registration deadlines, and early preference polling among PAN voters sustain competitive implied probabilities. Opposition figures aligned with Morena trail in available data, limiting separation until full nominees are confirmed. General-election factors such as state economic performance, security indicators, and turnout dynamics among key voting blocs could widen gaps once the field narrows ahead of the June 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$11,476
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Querétaro Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera" at 41%, followed by "Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Querétaro Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" is "Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.