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Politics·Mexico

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

icon for Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros 37%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo 37%

María Fernanda Rivera 37%

Graciela Domínguez Nava 37%

Polymarket
NEW

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros 37%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo 37%

María Fernanda Rivera 37%

Graciela Domínguez Nava 37%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Tomás de Jesús López Bajo

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for María Fernanda Rivera

María Fernanda Rivera

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Graciela Domínguez Nava

Graciela Domínguez Nava

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Ricardo Madrid Pérez

Ricardo Madrid Pérez

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Sergio Torres Félix

Sergio Torres Félix

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for María Teresa Guerra Ochoa

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Estrella Palacios Domínguez

Estrella Palacios Domínguez

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Lucila Ayala de Moreschi

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Mario Zamora Gastélum

Mario Zamora Gastélum

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Paloma Sánchez Ramos

Paloma Sánchez Ramos

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Eduardo Ortiz Hernández

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Roxana Rubio Valdez

Roxana Rubio Valdez

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Guillermo Romero Rodríguez

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Jesús Fernando García Hernández

Jesús Fernando García Hernández

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Imelda Castro Castro

Imelda Castro Castro

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for Omar López Campos

Omar López Campos

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez

$0 Vol.

33%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Sinaloa gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly fragmented, with trader consensus reflecting a wide field of aspirants amid uncertainty over party nominations and security challenges. Recent U.S. designations and investigations into alleged cartel links have prompted withdrawals by several early frontrunners, including figures tied to Morena, while the ruling party applies new anti-corruption screening for all candidates. State security dynamics, including organized crime and public safety, dominate campaign positioning and bilateral discussions. Multiple named contenders, including Sergio Torres Félix and others polling in the mid-30s to low-40s, show limited separation as internal party processes and potential disqualifications continue to reshape the field ahead of primary and general election timelines.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Sinaloa gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly fragmented, with trader consensus reflecting a wide field of aspirants amid uncertainty over party nominations and security challenges. Recent U.S. designations and investigations into alleged cartel links have prompted withdrawals by several early frontrunners, including figures tied to Morena, while the ruling party applies new anti-corruption screening for all candidates. State security dynamics, including organized crime and public safety, dominate campaign positioning and bilateral discussions. Multiple named contenders, including Sergio Torres Félix and others polling in the mid-30s to low-40s, show limited separation as internal party processes and potential disqualifications continue to reshape the field ahead of primary and general election timelines.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros" at 38%, followed by "Tomás de Jesús López Bajo" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" is "Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tomás de Jesús López Bajo" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.