Recent polling averages place Vox at approximately 18-19% ahead of Spain’s November 29 snap general election, aligning with trader consensus on the 18-20% band. Steady support reflects gains of roughly six points since the 2023 contest, driven by voter priorities on immigration, national identity, and economic pressures amid ongoing political instability under the Sánchez government. Multiple surveys from late October and early November, including Sigma Dos and Celeste-Tel, cluster in this range with limited week-to-week movement. The party’s projected role as a necessary coalition partner for the leading PP further anchors expectations, while the narrow window before voting limits scope for major volatility.