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icon for Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

icon for Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

$137,745 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$137,745 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$5,068 Vol.

No

September 15

$56,621 Vol.

No

September 30

$76,055 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 2026 directive launched the PURSUE program, directing federal agencies to review and declassify unresolved UAP records on a rolling basis. This has produced six public tranches since May 8, with the latest released September 18 containing additional documents, videos, and images from multiple agencies. A September 14 Pentagon legal waiver further enables current and former personnel to share related information with the initiative without standard NDA restrictions, building on earlier memos waiving prohibitions for disclosures to designated reviewers. These steps reflect sustained interagency coordination under the current administration, with releases occurring roughly every few weeks as records are processed. Traders monitor the pace of new material and any scheduled announcements or deadlines that could accelerate or delay further declassifications within specific resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$137,745
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 2026 directive launched the PURSUE program, directing federal agencies to review and declassify unresolved UAP records on a rolling basis. This has produced six public tranches since May 8, with the latest released September 18 containing additional documents, videos, and images from multiple agencies. A September 14 Pentagon legal waiver further enables current and former personnel to share related information with the initiative without standard NDA restrictions, building on earlier memos waiving prohibitions for disclosures to designated reviewers. These steps reflect sustained interagency coordination under the current administration, with releases occurring roughly every few weeks as records are processed. Traders monitor the pace of new material and any scheduled announcements or deadlines that could accelerate or delay further declassifications within specific resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$137,745
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 30" at 100%, followed by "August 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" has generated $137.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" is "September 30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.