The redrawn TX-35 district, which Republicans targeted in 2025 mid-decade redistricting to create a Republican-leaning seat with a Trump +10 baseline from 2024, features an open contest after Democratic incumbent Greg Casar shifted districts. This setup underpins the competitive trader consensus favoring Democrat Johnny Garcia at 59% over Republican Carlos De La Cruz at 40.5%. Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy, won his runoff and positions himself as a law-and-order Democrat emphasizing affordability and local roots in a majority-Hispanic district. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz, secured the GOP nomination with Trump’s endorsement and focuses on border security and economic issues. A recent candidate forum and Trump’s San Antonio campaign stop highlighted shared voter concerns over costs and immigration, while outside spending from both parties and early voting beginning October 19 sustain the tight positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.