Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election for Georgia's 4th Congressional District. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 95.5 percent. Johnson has represented the area since 2007 and prevailed by wide margins in prior cycles, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, significant scandal, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate limited scope for reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,990 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$18,091 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election for Georgia's 4th Congressional District. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 95.5 percent. Johnson has represented the area since 2007 and prevailed by wide margins in prior cycles, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, significant scandal, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,081End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election for Georgia's 4th Congressional District. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 95.5 percent. Johnson has represented the area since 2007 and prevailed by wide margins in prior cycles, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, significant scandal, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,081End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election for Georgia's 4th Congressional District. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 95.5 percent. Johnson has represented the area since 2007 and prevailed by wide margins in prior cycles, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, significant scandal, or unusually suppressed turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results indicate limited scope for reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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