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icon for Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Mike Pieciak 9%

Esther Charlestin 4.2%

Charity Clark 2.1%

Aly Richards 0

Polymarket

$65,515 Vol.

Mike Pieciak 9%

Esther Charlestin 4.2%

Charity Clark 2.1%

Aly Richards 0

Polymarket

$65,515 Vol.

Mike Pieciak

$5,105 Vol.

9%

Esther Charlestin

$8,818 Vol.

4%

Charity Clark

$51,552 Vol.

2%

Aly Richards

$40 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aly Richards at 56% to win Vermont's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her April 6 campaign launch as former Let's Grow Kids CEO and a May 7 interview emphasizing child care policy expertise amid the party's search for a strong challenger to popular Republican incumbent Phil Scott. State Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails at 8.5% on speculation of an entry before the May 28 filing deadline, bolstered by his statewide role and prior polling mentions, though no formal announcement has come. Attorney General Charity Clark's 2.1% reflects her May 4 reelection bid for AG, curtailing gubernatorial talk, while Esther Charlestin's 1.6% lags given her January shift to lieutenant governor. Absent polls, odds hinge on announcements and perceived viability.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$65,515
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aly Richards at 56% to win Vermont's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her April 6 campaign launch as former Let's Grow Kids CEO and a May 7 interview emphasizing child care policy expertise amid the party's search for a strong challenger to popular Republican incumbent Phil Scott. State Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails at 8.5% on speculation of an entry before the May 28 filing deadline, bolstered by his statewide role and prior polling mentions, though no formal announcement has come. Attorney General Charity Clark's 2.1% reflects her May 4 reelection bid for AG, curtailing gubernatorial talk, while Esther Charlestin's 1.6% lags given her January shift to lieutenant governor. Absent polls, odds hinge on announcements and perceived viability.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$65,515
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aly Richards" at 56%, followed by "Mike Pieciak" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $65.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Aly Richards" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Pieciak" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.