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Economy·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?
Economy·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?

$1.172M - $1.181M 28%

$1.181M - $1.190M 27%

<$1.172M 19%

$1.190M - $1.199M 13%

Polymarket
NEW

$1.172M - $1.181M 28%

$1.181M - $1.190M 27%

<$1.172M 19%

$1.190M - $1.199M 13%

Polymarket
NEW

<$1.172M

$104 Vol.

13%

$1.172M - $1.181M

$40 Vol.

28%

$1.181M - $1.190M

$221 Vol.

32%

$1.190M - $1.199M

$40 Vol.

13%

$1.199M - $1.208M

$48 Vol.

6%

$1.208M - $1.216M

$40 Vol.

7%

>$1.216M

$40 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Trader sentiment on Los Angeles Metro median home values clusters tightly around the $1.172M–$1.190M range, reflecting recent data releases showing modest year-over-year declines amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Redfin reported a 0.72% drop in median sale prices to $1.0M for the three months ending May 2026, while Zillow’s home-value index stood at approximately $956,000 with a 1.2% annual decline through April. Persistent affordability constraints, with only 18% of households able to qualify for median-priced homes, have weighed on demand despite limited new supply and steady transaction volumes. With resolution just weeks away, the narrow spread between the leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether June seasonal patterns or any late-month data revisions will push the final figure into the upper or lower of these two closely contested intervals.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volume
$534
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Trader sentiment on Los Angeles Metro median home values clusters tightly around the $1.172M–$1.190M range, reflecting recent data releases showing modest year-over-year declines amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%. Redfin reported a 0.72% drop in median sale prices to $1.0M for the three months ending May 2026, while Zillow’s home-value index stood at approximately $956,000 with a 1.2% annual decline through April. Persistent affordability constraints, with only 18% of households able to qualify for median-priced homes, have weighed on demand despite limited new supply and steady transaction volumes. With resolution just weeks away, the narrow spread between the leading bins underscores uncertainty over whether June seasonal patterns or any late-month data revisions will push the final figure into the upper or lower of these two closely contested intervals.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volume
$534
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1.181M - $1.190M" at 32%, followed by "$1.172M - $1.181M" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" is "$1.181M - $1.190M" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1.172M - $1.181M" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.