The open-ended search for a successor to outgoing White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has produced a crowded field, with no single candidate consolidating support among traders. Scott Jennings leads at 17% on the strength of his television presence and reported meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, while Principal Deputy Press Secretary Anna Kelly sits close behind at 15.5% due to her current briefing-room role and institutional familiarity. Other names including Tricia McLaughlin, Alina Habba, Maria Bartiromo, and Margo Martin trail in single digits, reflecting fragmented signals from White House insiders. The tight distribution around the top contenders stems from competing priorities—media combat skills versus proven loyalty and access—plus an ongoing vetting process that has not yet produced a decisive signal from President Trump. Any public meeting, endorsement, or narrowing of the shortlist could quickly shift implied probabilities before the role is filled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScott Jennings 17.0%
Anna Kelly 16%
Alina Habba 7.6%
Tricia McLaughlin 6.5%
$453,597 Vol.
$453,597 Vol.
Scott Jennings
17%
Anna Kelly
16%
Alina Habba
8%
Tricia McLaughlin
6%
Maria Bartiromo
6%
Natalie Harp
3%
Margo Martin
3%
Katie Miller
2%
Taylor Rogers
1%
Liz Huston
1%
Harrison Fields
1%
Lauren Bis
1%
Pat Adams
1%
Ari Fleischer
1%
Lara Trump
1%
Kush Desai
<1%
Katie Pavlich
<1%
Kayleigh McEnany
<1%
Monica Crowley
<1%
Kaelan Dorr
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Spencer Pratt
<1%
Hogan Gidley
<1%
Katie Zacharia
<1%
Matthew Boyle
<1%
Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%
Scott Jennings 17.0%
Anna Kelly 16%
Alina Habba 7.6%
Tricia McLaughlin 6.5%
$453,597 Vol.
$453,597 Vol.
Scott Jennings
17%
Anna Kelly
16%
Alina Habba
8%
Tricia McLaughlin
6%
Maria Bartiromo
6%
Natalie Harp
3%
Margo Martin
3%
Katie Miller
2%
Taylor Rogers
1%
Liz Huston
1%
Harrison Fields
1%
Lauren Bis
1%
Pat Adams
1%
Ari Fleischer
1%
Lara Trump
1%
Kush Desai
<1%
Katie Pavlich
<1%
Kayleigh McEnany
<1%
Monica Crowley
<1%
Kaelan Dorr
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Spencer Pratt
<1%
Hogan Gidley
<1%
Katie Zacharia
<1%
Matthew Boyle
<1%
Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The open-ended search for a successor to outgoing White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has produced a crowded field, with no single candidate consolidating support among traders. Scott Jennings leads at 17% on the strength of his television presence and reported meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, while Principal Deputy Press Secretary Anna Kelly sits close behind at 15.5% due to her current briefing-room role and institutional familiarity. Other names including Tricia McLaughlin, Alina Habba, Maria Bartiromo, and Margo Martin trail in single digits, reflecting fragmented signals from White House insiders. The tight distribution around the top contenders stems from competing priorities—media combat skills versus proven loyalty and access—plus an ongoing vetting process that has not yet produced a decisive signal from President Trump. Any public meeting, endorsement, or narrowing of the shortlist could quickly shift implied probabilities before the role is filled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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