President Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, citing dissatisfaction with the pace of interest rate cuts and broader policy differences. These statements intensified in April 2026 around the May 15 expiration of Powell’s term as Chair, with Trump indicating he would pursue dismissal if Powell remained on the Board pending Senate confirmation of a successor or resolution of a Department of Justice investigation into Fed headquarters renovations. Powell has publicly stated his intent to serve out his governor term through 2028 unless conditions change, while legal precedent limits presidential removal authority to “for cause.” Prior administration efforts to oust another governor faced court challenges, underscoring structural barriers. Scheduled events such as ongoing confirmation processes and potential Supreme Court rulings on related cases could influence outcomes within any resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$26,328 Vol.
August 31
37%
September 30
45%
December 31
13%
$26,328 Vol.
August 31
37%
September 30
45%
December 31
13%
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, citing dissatisfaction with the pace of interest rate cuts and broader policy differences. These statements intensified in April 2026 around the May 15 expiration of Powell’s term as Chair, with Trump indicating he would pursue dismissal if Powell remained on the Board pending Senate confirmation of a successor or resolution of a Department of Justice investigation into Fed headquarters renovations. Powell has publicly stated his intent to serve out his governor term through 2028 unless conditions change, while legal precedent limits presidential removal authority to “for cause.” Prior administration efforts to oust another governor faced court challenges, underscoring structural barriers. Scheduled events such as ongoing confirmation processes and potential Supreme Court rulings on related cases could influence outcomes within any resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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