Recent forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C in Busan on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula under clear skies and above-seasonal warmth. Coastal sea-breeze circulation at the Gimhae station typically caps peaks in this range, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 88.5 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C while limiting odds for 31 °C or higher to under 8 % combined. Historical May climatology shows similar mid-month highs moderated by marine influence, and any final-hour model revisions or observed wind shifts could still nudge the precise peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ?
30°C 91%
31°C 6.1%
32°C 4.3%
33°C or higher 3.0%
$38,902 Vol.
$38,902 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
91%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 91%
31°C 6.1%
32°C 4.3%
33°C or higher 3.0%
$38,902 Vol.
$38,902 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
91%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C in Busan on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula under clear skies and above-seasonal warmth. Coastal sea-breeze circulation at the Gimhae station typically caps peaks in this range, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 88.5 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C while limiting odds for 31 °C or higher to under 8 % combined. Historical May climatology shows similar mid-month highs moderated by marine influence, and any final-hour model revisions or observed wind shifts could still nudge the precise peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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