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icon for Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ?

Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ?

icon for Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ?

Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ?

86-87 °F 37%

88-89 °F 27%

84-85°F 19%

90-91°F 15.2%

Polymarket

$35,604 Vol.

86-87 °F 37%

88-89 °F 27%

84-85°F 19%

90-91°F 15.2%

Polymarket

$35,604 Vol.

79°F ou moins

$8,757 Vol.

<1%

80-81 °F

$6,005 Vol.

<1%

82-83 °F

$3,259 Vol.

5%

84-85°F

$3,165 Vol.

19%

86-87 °F

$3,518 Vol.

37%

88-89 °F

$1,915 Vol.

27%

90-91°F

$1,959 Vol.

15%

92-93 °F

$1,285 Vol.

1%

94-95°F

$2,337 Vol.

<1%

96-97°F

$2,010 Vol.

<1%

98°F ou plus

$1,463 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market assigns the highest implied probability to an 86–87°F high because the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from the GFS and ECMWF place peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band under a warm southerly flow and mostly sunny skies over New York City. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of maximum heating keep the 88–89°F outcome a close second at 26.5 percent, while probabilities drop sharply below 84°F given the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage in current forecasts. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and official NWS updates for any shifts that could alter these near-term odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,604
Date de fin
17 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market assigns the highest implied probability to an 86–87°F high because the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from the GFS and ECMWF place peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band under a warm southerly flow and mostly sunny skies over New York City. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of maximum heating keep the 88–89°F outcome a close second at 26.5 percent, while probabilities drop sharply below 84°F given the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage in current forecasts. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and official NWS updates for any shifts that could alter these near-term odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,604
Date de fin
17 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 86-87 °F » à 37%, suivi de « 88-89 °F » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ? » a généré $35.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 15, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ? » est « 86-87 °F » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 88-89 °F » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.