Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C, supported by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season that limits radiative cooling. This aligns closely with June climatological baselines of 20–22°C lows and current observations showing stable atmospheric conditions with light rain or overcast skies moderating temperature drops. The resulting 98.6% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects traders' assessment of this narrow range. A sudden clearing of skies or drier air mass intrusion could enable greater nighttime cooling and push readings to 19°C or below, though model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 14 juin ?
20°C 98.6%
19°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
17°C ou moins <1%
$57,096 Vol.
$57,096 Vol.
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 98.6%
19°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
17°C ou moins <1%
$57,096 Vol.
$57,096 Vol.
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C, supported by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season that limits radiative cooling. This aligns closely with June climatological baselines of 20–22°C lows and current observations showing stable atmospheric conditions with light rain or overcast skies moderating temperature drops. The resulting 98.6% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects traders' assessment of this narrow range. A sudden clearing of skies or drier air mass intrusion could enable greater nighttime cooling and push readings to 19°C or below, though model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes