Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto leader, prime minister, and heir apparent under 90-year-old King Salman, with no verified health crises, royal decrees, or family challenges altering the line of succession in the past 30 days. His power consolidation—via rival sidelining, cabinet reshuffles, and Vision 2030's third phase rollout—dominates trader consensus on stability. Recent diplomatic maneuvers, including strengthened US ties amid regional tensions, reinforce his position. Upcoming catalysts could include King Salman's health deterioration or Allegiance Council consultations post-ascension, though historical precedents favor seamless transitions absent major shocks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
$825,277 Vol.
30 juin
2%
31 décembre
7%
$825,277 Vol.
30 juin
2%
31 décembre
7%
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto leader, prime minister, and heir apparent under 90-year-old King Salman, with no verified health crises, royal decrees, or family challenges altering the line of succession in the past 30 days. His power consolidation—via rival sidelining, cabinet reshuffles, and Vision 2030's third phase rollout—dominates trader consensus on stability. Recent diplomatic maneuvers, including strengthened US ties amid regional tensions, reinforce his position. Upcoming catalysts could include King Salman's health deterioration or Allegiance Council consultations post-ascension, though historical precedents favor seamless transitions absent major shocks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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