Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNJ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NJ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
14%
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$12,329 Vol.
81%
Parti démocrate
$11,858 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,186Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,186Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. Van Drew’s unopposed primary and consistent general-election performance, including 58 percent support in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s slight Republican registration edge and South Jersey geography have produced reliable margins for the incumbent, reinforced by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. Mullock’s June 2026 primary victory clarified the matchup without shifting expectations, as earlier polling averages and fundraising patterns continue to align with historical base rates for this seat. No major late developments have altered the implied probability in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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