Nevada's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, with primaries in June 2026 selecting Republican nominee David Flippo, who secured former President Trump's endorsement, and Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district maintains a Republican partisan voting index around R+7, supporting consistent historical preference for GOP candidates in general elections. Forecasters rate the race as Safe or Likely Republican, though a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head margin. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the district's structural lean and post-primary consolidation around Flippo, while the Democratic share at 22% accounts for potential turnout shifts or campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNV-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NV-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$29,571 Vol.
$29,571 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
75%
Parti démocrate
22%
$29,571 Vol.
$29,571 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$15,562 Vol.
75%
Parti démocrate
$14,009 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nevada's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, with primaries in June 2026 selecting Republican nominee David Flippo, who secured former President Trump's endorsement, and Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district maintains a Republican partisan voting index around R+7, supporting consistent historical preference for GOP candidates in general elections. Forecasters rate the race as Safe or Likely Republican, though a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head margin. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the district's structural lean and post-primary consolidation around Flippo, while the Democratic share at 22% accounts for potential turnout shifts or campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$29,571Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nevada's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, with primaries in June 2026 selecting Republican nominee David Flippo, who secured former President Trump's endorsement, and Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district maintains a Republican partisan voting index around R+7, supporting consistent historical preference for GOP candidates in general elections. Forecasters rate the race as Safe or Likely Republican, though a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head margin. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the district's structural lean and post-primary consolidation around Flippo, while the Democratic share at 22% accounts for potential turnout shifts or campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,571Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nevada's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, with primaries in June 2026 selecting Republican nominee David Flippo, who secured former President Trump's endorsement, and Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district maintains a Republican partisan voting index around R+7, supporting consistent historical preference for GOP candidates in general elections. Forecasters rate the race as Safe or Likely Republican, though a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head margin. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the district's structural lean and post-primary consolidation around Flippo, while the Democratic share at 22% accounts for potential turnout shifts or campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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