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icon for Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026
Économie·UMich

Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026

icon for Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026
Économie·UMich

Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026

sept. 25

sept. 25

46,0 à 48,9 61%

43,0 à 45,9 27%

49,0 à 51,9 7.8%

55,0 à 57,9 5.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

46,0 à 48,9 61%

43,0 à 45,9 27%

49,0 à 51,9 7.8%

55,0 à 57,9 5.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<43,0

$433 Vol.

3%

43,0 à 45,9

$1,087 Vol.

27%

46,0 à 48,9

$5,257 Vol.

61%

49,0 à 51,9

$417 Vol.

8%

52,0 à 54,9

$277 Vol.

<1%

55,0 à 57,9

$981 Vol.

5%

58,0+

$249 Vol.

6%

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 3.9 points from the August final of 51.7 and well below consensus forecasts near 51. This reading, driven by a sharp rebound in gasoline prices and renewed trade tensions that lifted one-year inflation expectations to 4.6 percent, anchors trader positioning in the 46.0–48.9 band at 60.5 percent implied probability. The expectations sub-index fell 5.7 points while current conditions eased modestly, reflecting broad-based deterioration across political affiliations. With the final release scheduled for September 25, markets price limited scope for material revision outside the leading bin, though any further energy-price volatility or policy signals could still shift the outcome.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$8,701
Date de fin
25 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 3.9 points from the August final of 51.7 and well below consensus forecasts near 51. This reading, driven by a sharp rebound in gasoline prices and renewed trade tensions that lifted one-year inflation expectations to 4.6 percent, anchors trader positioning in the 46.0–48.9 band at 60.5 percent implied probability. The expectations sub-index fell 5.7 points while current conditions eased modestly, reflecting broad-based deterioration across political affiliations. With the final release scheduled for September 25, markets price limited scope for material revision outside the leading bin, though any further energy-price volatility or policy signals could still shift the outcome.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$8,701
Date de fin
25 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for L'inflation mensuelle augmentera-t-elle de 0,5 % en septembre ?

L'inflation mensuelle augmentera-t-elle de 0,5 % en septembre ?

37%
Oui
icon for L'indice PMI des services ISM sera-t-il compris entre 54,0 et 54,9 en septembre ?

L'indice PMI des services ISM sera-t-il compris entre 54,0 et 54,9 en septembre ?

24%
Oui
icon for L'indice ISM PMI manufacturier sera-t-il compris entre 55,0 et 55,9 en septembre ?

L'indice ISM PMI manufacturier sera-t-il compris entre 55,0 et 55,9 en septembre ?

24%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 46,0 à 48,9 » à 61%, suivi de « 43,0 à 45,9 » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 61¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 8, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026 », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026 » est « 46,0 à 48,9 » à 61%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 43,0 à 45,9 » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Sentiment des consommateurs de l'Université du Michigan - septembre 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.