Recent polling across Alberta shows consistent minority support for independence, with roughly 26-29% favoring separation and 64-67% opposed in surveys conducted through April 2026. Separatist organizers submitted over 300,000 signatures in early May to meet the threshold for a possible October referendum ballot, yet these figures have not translated into broader voter backing amid ongoing economic and constitutional concerns. Premier Danielle Smith's government has signaled willingness to include the question if verified, but historical patterns and current polling averages indicate a wide margin against passage. Traders price the low odds of a yes outcome based on this stable gap between petition activity and actual electorate sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$69,556 Vol.
$69,556 Vol.
Oui
$69,556 Vol.
$69,556 Vol.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling across Alberta shows consistent minority support for independence, with roughly 26-29% favoring separation and 64-67% opposed in surveys conducted through April 2026. Separatist organizers submitted over 300,000 signatures in early May to meet the threshold for a possible October referendum ballot, yet these figures have not translated into broader voter backing amid ongoing economic and constitutional concerns. Premier Danielle Smith's government has signaled willingness to include the question if verified, but historical patterns and current polling averages indicate a wide margin against passage. Traders price the low odds of a yes outcome based on this stable gap between petition activity and actual electorate sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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