The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
5% chance
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$12,999Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volume
$12,999Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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