Constitutional amendment procedures impose the primary barrier, requiring two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures—a threshold that has succeeded only twenty-seven times in U.S. history. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any legislative momentum, public statements, or coalition-building around term-limit changes through mid-2026. Bipartisan resistance, institutional norms favoring stability in executive tenure, and competing legislative priorities further reduce the likelihood of action within the calendar year. Even narrow shifts in congressional control or unexpected political realignments would face extended timelines and state-level hurdles before altering the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
5% chance
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Constitutional amendment procedures impose the primary barrier, requiring two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures—a threshold that has succeeded only twenty-seven times in U.S. history. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any legislative momentum, public statements, or coalition-building around term-limit changes through mid-2026. Bipartisan resistance, institutional norms favoring stability in executive tenure, and competing legislative priorities further reduce the likelihood of action within the calendar year. Even narrow shifts in congressional control or unexpected political realignments would face extended timelines and state-level hurdles before altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$12,999Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Constitutional amendment procedures impose the primary barrier, requiring two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures—a threshold that has succeeded only twenty-seven times in U.S. history. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any legislative momentum, public statements, or coalition-building around term-limit changes through mid-2026. Bipartisan resistance, institutional norms favoring stability in executive tenure, and competing legislative priorities further reduce the likelihood of action within the calendar year. Even narrow shifts in congressional control or unexpected political realignments would face extended timelines and state-level hurdles before altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volume
$12,999Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Constitutional amendment procedures impose the primary barrier, requiring two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures—a threshold that has succeeded only twenty-seven times in U.S. history. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any legislative momentum, public statements, or coalition-building around term-limit changes through mid-2026. Bipartisan resistance, institutional norms favoring stability in executive tenure, and competing legislative priorities further reduce the likelihood of action within the calendar year. Even narrow shifts in congressional control or unexpected political realignments would face extended timelines and state-level hurdles before altering the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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