In Guinea-Bissau's scheduled December 2026 legislative elections under the post-coup transitional framework, trader consensus favors Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” due to its alignment with the current High Military Command for the Restoration of Order and the institutional advantages conferred by the transitional charter. This positioning stems from the November 2025 annulment of prior results, the exclusion of major opposition forces such as PAIGC from recent contests, and the junta's appointment of a 65-member transitional legislature. Recent months have seen persistent reports of political violence, activist deaths, and media restrictions that underscore ongoing instability, while AU and ECOWAS mediation efforts focus on institutional reforms and electoral commission independence ahead of the vote. These dynamics reinforce uncertainty for smaller parties like PT, FLING, and PS, whose support bases remain fragmented amid the military oversight and delayed restoration of full constitutional order.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 58.1%
PT 9.8%
FLING 6.3%
PS 5.9%
$140,664 Vol.
$140,664 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
PT
10%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 58.1%
PT 9.8%
FLING 6.3%
PS 5.9%
$140,664 Vol.
$140,664 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$39,663 Vol.
35%
PT
$20,432 Vol.
10%
FLING
$11,905 Vol.
6%
PS
$23,568 Vol.
6%
FREPASNA
$23,723 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$21,373 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).In Guinea-Bissau's scheduled December 2026 legislative elections under the post-coup transitional framework, trader consensus favors Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” due to its alignment with the current High Military Command for the Restoration of Order and the institutional advantages conferred by the transitional charter. This positioning stems from the November 2025 annulment of prior results, the exclusion of major opposition forces such as PAIGC from recent contests, and the junta's appointment of a 65-member transitional legislature. Recent months have seen persistent reports of political violence, activist deaths, and media restrictions that underscore ongoing instability, while AU and ECOWAS mediation efforts focus on institutional reforms and electoral commission independence ahead of the vote. These dynamics reinforce uncertainty for smaller parties like PT, FLING, and PS, whose support bases remain fragmented amid the military oversight and delayed restoration of full constitutional order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$140,664Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 23, 2025Pasar Dibuka
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).In Guinea-Bissau's scheduled December 2026 legislative elections under the post-coup transitional framework, trader consensus favors Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” due to its alignment with the current High Military Command for the Restoration of Order and the institutional advantages conferred by the transitional charter. This positioning stems from the November 2025 annulment of prior results, the exclusion of major opposition forces such as PAIGC from recent contests, and the junta's appointment of a 65-member transitional legislature. Recent months have seen persistent reports of political violence, activist deaths, and media restrictions that underscore ongoing instability, while AU and ECOWAS mediation efforts focus on institutional reforms and electoral commission independence ahead of the vote. These dynamics reinforce uncertainty for smaller parties like PT, FLING, and PS, whose support bases remain fragmented amid the military oversight and delayed restoration of full constitutional order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$140,664Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 23, 2025Pasar Dibuka
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Guinea-Bissau's scheduled December 2026 legislative elections under the post-coup transitional framework, trader consensus favors Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” due to its alignment with the current High Military Command for the Restoration of Order and the institutional advantages conferred by the transitional charter. This positioning stems from the November 2025 annulment of prior results, the exclusion of major opposition forces such as PAIGC from recent contests, and the junta's appointment of a 65-member transitional legislature. Recent months have seen persistent reports of political violence, activist deaths, and media restrictions that underscore ongoing instability, while AU and ECOWAS mediation efforts focus on institutional reforms and electoral commission independence ahead of the vote. These dynamics reinforce uncertainty for smaller parties like PT, FLING, and PS, whose support bases remain fragmented amid the military oversight and delayed restoration of full constitutional order.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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