Guinea-Bissau's upcoming National People's Assembly election on 6 December 2026 occurs amid a military-led transition following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 2026 referendum expanding presidential authority and reducing parliament from 102 to 65 seats under party-list proportional representation. This environment fragments support across smaller parties and emerging platforms such as FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh uncertain candidate eligibility, potential opposition participation, and alliance-building ahead of the vote. Key separation factors include final candidate registration, coalition negotiations, turnout patterns, and any further institutional adjustments by transitional authorities before polling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
FREPASNA 28.8%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 21.8%
PT 6.1%
FLING 4.2%
$159,298 Vol.
$159,298 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
19%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
12%
PT
6%
FLING
4%
PS
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 28.8%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 21.8%
PT 6.1%
FLING 4.2%
$159,298 Vol.
$159,298 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
$26,759 Vol.
19%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,598 Vol.
12%
PT
$21,911 Vol.
6%
FLING
$12,987 Vol.
4%
PS
$26,160 Vol.
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau's upcoming National People's Assembly election on 6 December 2026 occurs amid a military-led transition following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 2026 referendum expanding presidential authority and reducing parliament from 102 to 65 seats under party-list proportional representation. This environment fragments support across smaller parties and emerging platforms such as FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh uncertain candidate eligibility, potential opposition participation, and alliance-building ahead of the vote. Key separation factors include final candidate registration, coalition negotiations, turnout patterns, and any further institutional adjustments by transitional authorities before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$159,298Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 23, 2025Pasar Dibuka
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau's upcoming National People's Assembly election on 6 December 2026 occurs amid a military-led transition following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 2026 referendum expanding presidential authority and reducing parliament from 102 to 65 seats under party-list proportional representation. This environment fragments support across smaller parties and emerging platforms such as FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh uncertain candidate eligibility, potential opposition participation, and alliance-building ahead of the vote. Key separation factors include final candidate registration, coalition negotiations, turnout patterns, and any further institutional adjustments by transitional authorities before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$159,298Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 23, 2025Pasar Dibuka
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau's upcoming National People's Assembly election on 6 December 2026 occurs amid a military-led transition following the November 2025 coup, with a new constitution approved in the August 2026 referendum expanding presidential authority and reducing parliament from 102 to 65 seats under party-list proportional representation. This environment fragments support across smaller parties and emerging platforms such as FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh uncertain candidate eligibility, potential opposition participation, and alliance-building ahead of the vote. Key separation factors include final candidate registration, coalition negotiations, turnout patterns, and any further institutional adjustments by transitional authorities before polling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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