Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14, reflecting stable meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models showing typical late-summer conditions. Climatological data place August average daily maxima near 27–28°C, with no active heatwave, anomalous pressure systems, or frontal passages expected to push temperatures outside this narrow range. Current observations and short-range model runs indicate partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly flow, and limited diurnal heating consistent with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require a sudden synoptic shift—such as stronger southerly advection or clear-sky radiative heating exceeding model consensus—though the tight spread of outcomes signals low forecast uncertainty on resolution day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,589 Vol.
$59,589 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,589 Vol.
$59,589 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$569 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,558 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,501 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,221 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,530 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$6,986 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,406 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,162 Vol.
No
31°C
$633 Vol.
No
32°C
$864 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$3,157 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14, reflecting stable meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models showing typical late-summer conditions. Climatological data place August average daily maxima near 27–28°C, with no active heatwave, anomalous pressure systems, or frontal passages expected to push temperatures outside this narrow range. Current observations and short-range model runs indicate partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly flow, and limited diurnal heating consistent with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require a sudden synoptic shift—such as stronger southerly advection or clear-sky radiative heating exceeding model consensus—though the tight spread of outcomes signals low forecast uncertainty on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$59,589Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14, reflecting stable meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models showing typical late-summer conditions. Climatological data place August average daily maxima near 27–28°C, with no active heatwave, anomalous pressure systems, or frontal passages expected to push temperatures outside this narrow range. Current observations and short-range model runs indicate partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly flow, and limited diurnal heating consistent with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require a sudden synoptic shift—such as stronger southerly advection or clear-sky radiative heating exceeding model consensus—though the tight spread of outcomes signals low forecast uncertainty on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,589Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14, reflecting stable meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models showing typical late-summer conditions. Climatological data place August average daily maxima near 27–28°C, with no active heatwave, anomalous pressure systems, or frontal passages expected to push temperatures outside this narrow range. Current observations and short-range model runs indicate partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly flow, and limited diurnal heating consistent with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require a sudden synoptic shift—such as stronger southerly advection or clear-sky radiative heating exceeding model consensus—though the tight spread of outcomes signals low forecast uncertainty on resolution day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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