Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 16?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,191 Vol.
$155,191 Vol.
May 16, 2026
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,191 Vol.
$155,191 Vol.
May 16, 2026
16°C
$29,454 Vol.
100%
17°C
$32,148 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10,666 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,864 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$3,059 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$155,191Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$155,191Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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