Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model runs show Paris under persistent overcast skies with a cool northwesterly flow, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum temperature at 16 °C. Morning readings near 7–9 °C and light winds have kept surface warming modest, consistent with the historical May average high of 18 °C yet below recent seasonal norms. The market’s near-certain 16 °C outcome reflects this stable, evidence-based consensus. A brief clearing of clouds during peak afternoon hours could allow an additional 1–2 °C of warming, but current observational trends and updated model guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,173 Vol.
$155,173 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,173 Vol.
$155,173 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model runs show Paris under persistent overcast skies with a cool northwesterly flow, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum temperature at 16 °C. Morning readings near 7–9 °C and light winds have kept surface warming modest, consistent with the historical May average high of 18 °C yet below recent seasonal norms. The market’s near-certain 16 °C outcome reflects this stable, evidence-based consensus. A brief clearing of clouds during peak afternoon hours could allow an additional 1–2 °C of warming, but current observational trends and updated model guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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