Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Paris on May 17 most likely between 15 °C and 17 °C, with clustering near 16 °C, consistent with trader positioning. A persistent blocking upper-level trough has advected cooler maritime air across northern France, suppressing afternoon warming well below the May climatological average of 19 °C at Paris-Montsouris. Model consensus shows limited diurnal recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping maximum temperatures in this narrow band. Météo-France observations tomorrow afternoon will resolve the market, with any unexpected clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17 °C while stronger cloud cover would favor 15 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 47%
15°C 38%
17°C 11%
14°C 5.7%
$45,121 Vol.
$45,121 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
38%
16°C
47%
17°C
11%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 38%
17°C 11%
14°C 5.7%
$45,121 Vol.
$45,121 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
38%
16°C
47%
17°C
11%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Paris on May 17 most likely between 15 °C and 17 °C, with clustering near 16 °C, consistent with trader positioning. A persistent blocking upper-level trough has advected cooler maritime air across northern France, suppressing afternoon warming well below the May climatological average of 19 °C at Paris-Montsouris. Model consensus shows limited diurnal recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping maximum temperatures in this narrow band. Météo-France observations tomorrow afternoon will resolve the market, with any unexpected clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17 °C while stronger cloud cover would favor 15 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan