Strong model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and extended-range forecasts supports a nighttime minimum near 23°C for Tokyo on August 16, aligning closely with the 30-year August climatological normal of 23.5–23.6°C. Persistent strengthening of the Pacific High has sustained above-normal daytime heat and humidity across Honshu, limiting radiative cooling overnight while steering patterns suppress significant cloud cover or frontal passages that could depress temperatures further. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate this setup favors typical midsummer lows rather than cooler anomalies, with limited ensemble spread around the 23–24°C range in the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and any JMA three-day forecast revisions expected before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
23°C 89%
21°C 5%
22°C 5%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
89%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 89%
21°C 5%
22°C 5%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$328 Vol.
1%
21°C
$511 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,266 Vol.
5%
23°C
$2,832 Vol.
89%
24°C
$2,324 Vol.
4%
25°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and extended-range forecasts supports a nighttime minimum near 23°C for Tokyo on August 16, aligning closely with the 30-year August climatological normal of 23.5–23.6°C. Persistent strengthening of the Pacific High has sustained above-normal daytime heat and humidity across Honshu, limiting radiative cooling overnight while steering patterns suppress significant cloud cover or frontal passages that could depress temperatures further. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate this setup favors typical midsummer lows rather than cooler anomalies, with limited ensemble spread around the 23–24°C range in the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and any JMA three-day forecast revisions expected before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$9,175Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and extended-range forecasts supports a nighttime minimum near 23°C for Tokyo on August 16, aligning closely with the 30-year August climatological normal of 23.5–23.6°C. Persistent strengthening of the Pacific High has sustained above-normal daytime heat and humidity across Honshu, limiting radiative cooling overnight while steering patterns suppress significant cloud cover or frontal passages that could depress temperatures further. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate this setup favors typical midsummer lows rather than cooler anomalies, with limited ensemble spread around the 23–24°C range in the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and any JMA three-day forecast revisions expected before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,175Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and extended-range forecasts supports a nighttime minimum near 23°C for Tokyo on August 16, aligning closely with the 30-year August climatological normal of 23.5–23.6°C. Persistent strengthening of the Pacific High has sustained above-normal daytime heat and humidity across Honshu, limiting radiative cooling overnight while steering patterns suppress significant cloud cover or frontal passages that could depress temperatures further. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate this setup favors typical midsummer lows rather than cooler anomalies, with limited ensemble spread around the 23–24°C range in the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and any JMA three-day forecast revisions expected before market resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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