Ongoing restrictions and Iranian threats continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz amid post-ceasefire tensions between the United States and Iran. Daily transits have remained in the single digits or lower in early May, with only nine ships recorded on May 3 following sharp declines from prior weeks and a near-standstill since late February. U.S. forces launched Project Freedom on May 4 to guide vessels out of the Persian Gulf while maintaining a blockade on Iranian ports, yet warnings from Tehran’s Revolutionary Guards and reports of mines, drone risks, and seizures keep most operators sidelined. These factors sustain trader consensus around minimal averages through the end of the month, with any sustained reopening dependent on diplomatic progress or de-escalation in the coming weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10 87%
10-20 6%
20-40 3.4%
60+ 3.0%
$319,830 Vol.
$319,830 Vol.
31 mag 2026
0-10
87%
10-20
6%
20-40
3%
40-60
2%
60+
3%
0-10 87%
10-20 6%
20-40 3.4%
60+ 3.0%
$319,830 Vol.
$319,830 Vol.
31 mag 2026
0-10
$170,828 Vol.
87%
10-20
$42,854 Vol.
6%
20-40
$34,028 Vol.
3%
40-60
$27,425 Vol.
2%
60+
$44,695 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing restrictions and Iranian threats continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz amid post-ceasefire tensions between the United States and Iran. Daily transits have remained in the single digits or lower in early May, with only nine ships recorded on May 3 following sharp declines from prior weeks and a near-standstill since late February. U.S. forces launched Project Freedom on May 4 to guide vessels out of the Persian Gulf while maintaining a blockade on Iranian ports, yet warnings from Tehran’s Revolutionary Guards and reports of mines, drone risks, and seizures keep most operators sidelined. These factors sustain trader consensus around minimal averages through the end of the month, with any sustained reopening dependent on diplomatic progress or de-escalation in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$319,830Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing restrictions and Iranian threats continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz amid post-ceasefire tensions between the United States and Iran. Daily transits have remained in the single digits or lower in early May, with only nine ships recorded on May 3 following sharp declines from prior weeks and a near-standstill since late February. U.S. forces launched Project Freedom on May 4 to guide vessels out of the Persian Gulf while maintaining a blockade on Iranian ports, yet warnings from Tehran’s Revolutionary Guards and reports of mines, drone risks, and seizures keep most operators sidelined. These factors sustain trader consensus around minimal averages through the end of the month, with any sustained reopening dependent on diplomatic progress or de-escalation in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volume
$319,830Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing restrictions and Iranian threats continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz amid post-ceasefire tensions between the United States and Iran. Daily transits have remained in the single digits or lower in early May, with only nine ships recorded on May 3 following sharp declines from prior weeks and a near-standstill since late February. U.S. forces launched Project Freedom on May 4 to guide vessels out of the Persian Gulf while maintaining a blockade on Iranian ports, yet warnings from Tehran’s Revolutionary Guards and reports of mines, drone risks, and seizures keep most operators sidelined. These factors sustain trader consensus around minimal averages through the end of the month, with any sustained reopening dependent on diplomatic progress or de-escalation in the coming weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti