**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a maximum of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 102-103°F outcome at 100% implied probability.** A persistent high-pressure ridge drove the late-summer heat wave across central Texas, producing 11 consecutive triple-digit days and keeping readings 7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of 96°F. With clear skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, daytime heating reached its peak in the mid-afternoon under typical late-August solar angles. Historical context shows this falls well below the date’s 107°F record set in 2023 yet remains consistent with the ongoing anomalously warm August pattern. Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revised station data, a different official measurement site, or post-analysis corrections—none of which appear indicated in preliminary climatological reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 25 agosto?
102-103°F 100.0%
95°F o inferiore <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$21,745 Vol.
$21,745 Vol.
25 ago 2026
95°F o inferiore
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o superiore
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
95°F o inferiore <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$21,745 Vol.
$21,745 Vol.
25 ago 2026
95°F o inferiore
$164 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,163 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,545 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$4,115 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$3,838 Vol.
100%
104-105°F
$4,419 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$266 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$345 Vol.
<1%
114°F o superiore
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a maximum of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 102-103°F outcome at 100% implied probability.**
A persistent high-pressure ridge drove the late-summer heat wave across central Texas, producing 11 consecutive triple-digit days and keeping readings 7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of 96°F. With clear skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, daytime heating reached its peak in the mid-afternoon under typical late-August solar angles. Historical context shows this falls well below the date’s 107°F record set in 2023 yet remains consistent with the ongoing anomalously warm August pattern.
Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revised station data, a different official measurement site, or post-analysis corrections—none of which appear indicated in preliminary climatological reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,745Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a maximum of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 102-103°F outcome at 100% implied probability.**
A persistent high-pressure ridge drove the late-summer heat wave across central Texas, producing 11 consecutive triple-digit days and keeping readings 7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of 96°F. With clear skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, daytime heating reached its peak in the mid-afternoon under typical late-August solar angles. Historical context shows this falls well below the date’s 107°F record set in 2023 yet remains consistent with the ongoing anomalously warm August pattern.
Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revised station data, a different official measurement site, or post-analysis corrections—none of which appear indicated in preliminary climatological reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,745Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a maximum of 103°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 102-103°F outcome at 100% implied probability.** A persistent high-pressure ridge drove the late-summer heat wave across central Texas, producing 11 consecutive triple-digit days and keeping readings 7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of 96°F. With clear skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, daytime heating reached its peak in the mid-afternoon under typical late-August solar angles. Historical context shows this falls well below the date’s 107°F record set in 2023 yet remains consistent with the ongoing anomalously warm August pattern. Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revised station data, a different official measurement site, or post-analysis corrections—none of which appear indicated in preliminary climatological reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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