Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models points to a peak temperature of 30 °C in Busan today, driven by southerly flow and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This aligns with the market’s near-certain consensus on the 30 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow range of model solutions clustered around that value. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 22 °C, so the current setup represents an above-normal thermal anomaly that has been building over the past several days. The primary uncertainty remains any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or onshore breeze that could cap the high a degree or two lower, though updated runs through midday continue to support the 30 °C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Busan il 17 maggio?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,385 Vol.
$49,385 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,385 Vol.
$49,385 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models points to a peak temperature of 30 °C in Busan today, driven by southerly flow and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This aligns with the market’s near-certain consensus on the 30 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow range of model solutions clustered around that value. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 22 °C, so the current setup represents an above-normal thermal anomaly that has been building over the past several days. The primary uncertainty remains any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or onshore breeze that could cap the high a degree or two lower, though updated runs through midday continue to support the 30 °C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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