Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
29°C 32%
28°C 22%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
NUOVO
$15,883 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,883 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
32%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 22%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
NUOVO
$15,883 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,883 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
$1,314 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,200 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,408 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2,094 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,951 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,805 Vol.
32%
30°C
$537 Vol.
14%
31°C
$1,269 Vol.
6%
32°C
$1,206 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,883Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,883Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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