Numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to 99.9% for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has promoted clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C, while low-level moisture and minor model spread keep the 32°C possibility at just 0.1%. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window from official stations, as any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected cloud development could shift the recorded high and alter resolution. This tight consensus reflects the basin’s typical late-spring meteorology and the limited variability seen in recent model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$65,323 Vol.
$65,323 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$65,323 Vol.
$65,323 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,973 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,948 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,223 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,326 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,232 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,005 Vol.
100%
32°C
$8,642 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,852 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to 99.9% for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has promoted clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C, while low-level moisture and minor model spread keep the 32°C possibility at just 0.1%. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window from official stations, as any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected cloud development could shift the recorded high and alter resolution. This tight consensus reflects the basin’s typical late-spring meteorology and the limited variability seen in recent model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$65,323Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to 99.9% for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has promoted clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C, while low-level moisture and minor model spread keep the 32°C possibility at just 0.1%. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window from official stations, as any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected cloud development could shift the recorded high and alter resolution. This tight consensus reflects the basin’s typical late-spring meteorology and the limited variability seen in recent model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,323Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUNumerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to 99.9% for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has promoted clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C, while low-level moisture and minor model spread keep the 32°C possibility at just 0.1%. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window from official stations, as any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected cloud development could shift the recorded high and alter resolution. This tight consensus reflects the basin’s typical late-spring meteorology and the limited variability seen in recent model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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