Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models, including ECMWF runs, indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate southerly flow and ample solar insolation. This range aligns with slightly above-average early-summer warmth for the region, where climatological June highs average near 26°C. Trader positioning at these levels reflects tight model consensus and limited spread in guidance, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 36%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
31°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
26%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
31°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
26°C or below
$102 Vol.
3%
27°C
$127 Vol.
7%
28°C
$44 Vol.
26%
29°C
$194 Vol.
36%
30°C
$513 Vol.
22%
31°C
$464 Vol.
7%
32°C
$493 Vol.
2%
33°C
$91 Vol.
1%
34°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models, including ECMWF runs, indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate southerly flow and ample solar insolation. This range aligns with slightly above-average early-summer warmth for the region, where climatological June highs average near 26°C. Trader positioning at these levels reflects tight model consensus and limited spread in guidance, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$3,097Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models, including ECMWF runs, indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate southerly flow and ample solar insolation. This range aligns with slightly above-average early-summer warmth for the region, where climatological June highs average near 26°C. Trader positioning at these levels reflects tight model consensus and limited spread in guidance, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,097Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models, including ECMWF runs, indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate southerly flow and ample solar insolation. This range aligns with slightly above-average early-summer warmth for the region, where climatological June highs average near 26°C. Trader positioning at these levels reflects tight model consensus and limited spread in guidance, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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