Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Istanbul's May 18 maximum will likely settle near the seasonal climatological average of 20–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability under typical springtime synoptic patterns. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in daytime heating: stronger southerly flow from Anatolia can advect warmer continental air, while enhanced sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara Sea or increased cloud cover may cap the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, combined with updated short-range runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System, continue to tighten the expected range around 20–21°C without signaling significant departures from historical mid-May norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 18 maggio?
21°C 31%
20°C 29%
22°C 19%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
13%
20°C
29%
21°C
31%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
5%
21°C 31%
20°C 29%
22°C 19%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
13°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$854 Vol.
1%
16°C
$595 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,666 Vol.
1%
18°C
$644 Vol.
6%
19°C
$432 Vol.
13%
20°C
$72 Vol.
29%
21°C
$123 Vol.
31%
22°C
$162 Vol.
19%
23°C or higher
$207 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Istanbul's May 18 maximum will likely settle near the seasonal climatological average of 20–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability under typical springtime synoptic patterns. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in daytime heating: stronger southerly flow from Anatolia can advect warmer continental air, while enhanced sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara Sea or increased cloud cover may cap the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, combined with updated short-range runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System, continue to tighten the expected range around 20–21°C without signaling significant departures from historical mid-May norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$5,608Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Istanbul's May 18 maximum will likely settle near the seasonal climatological average of 20–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability under typical springtime synoptic patterns. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in daytime heating: stronger southerly flow from Anatolia can advect warmer continental air, while enhanced sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara Sea or increased cloud cover may cap the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, combined with updated short-range runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System, continue to tighten the expected range around 20–21°C without signaling significant departures from historical mid-May norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,608Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Istanbul's May 18 maximum will likely settle near the seasonal climatological average of 20–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability under typical springtime synoptic patterns. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in daytime heating: stronger southerly flow from Anatolia can advect warmer continental air, while enhanced sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara Sea or increased cloud cover may cap the peak by 1–2°C. Official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, combined with updated short-range runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System, continue to tighten the expected range around 20–21°C without signaling significant departures from historical mid-May norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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