Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 52%
39°C 25%
38°C 23%
37°C 1.1%
$20,115 Vol.
$20,115 Vol.
15 mag 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
23%
39°C
25%
40°C or higher
59%
40°C or higher 52%
39°C 25%
38°C 23%
37°C 1.1%
$20,115 Vol.
$20,115 Vol.
15 mag 2026
30°C or below
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,611 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,181 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,699 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,185 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,827 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,697 Vol.
1%
38°C
$996 Vol.
23%
39°C
$481 Vol.
25%
40°C or higher
$1,149 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volume
$20,115Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,115Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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