Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking pre-monsoon conditions in southern Pakistan point to a daily maximum near 35°C in Karachi on June 14, consistent with typical June climatology of 33–36°C highs moderated by Arabian Sea moisture and afternoon sea breezes. These factors suppress extreme heat while limiting cooling below the mid-30s, aligning with the market’s 98.3% implied probability on 35°C. Shifts in steering winds delaying the sea breeze or enhancing subsidence could allow a brief spike to 36°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding that threshold or dropping to 34°C or below before sunset. Updated model runs later today will refine the final reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Karachi on June 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 14?
35°C 98.3%
36°C 1.2%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$21,953 Vol.
$21,953 Vol.
14 giu 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
98%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
35°C 98.3%
36°C 1.2%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$21,953 Vol.
$21,953 Vol.
14 giu 2026
29°C or below
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$451 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,483 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,133 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,602 Vol.
98%
36°C
$3,387 Vol.
1%
37°C
$2,611 Vol.
1%
38°C
$1,310 Vol.
<1%
39°C o superiore
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking pre-monsoon conditions in southern Pakistan point to a daily maximum near 35°C in Karachi on June 14, consistent with typical June climatology of 33–36°C highs moderated by Arabian Sea moisture and afternoon sea breezes. These factors suppress extreme heat while limiting cooling below the mid-30s, aligning with the market’s 98.3% implied probability on 35°C. Shifts in steering winds delaying the sea breeze or enhancing subsidence could allow a brief spike to 36°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding that threshold or dropping to 34°C or below before sunset. Updated model runs later today will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$21,953Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking pre-monsoon conditions in southern Pakistan point to a daily maximum near 35°C in Karachi on June 14, consistent with typical June climatology of 33–36°C highs moderated by Arabian Sea moisture and afternoon sea breezes. These factors suppress extreme heat while limiting cooling below the mid-30s, aligning with the market’s 98.3% implied probability on 35°C. Shifts in steering winds delaying the sea breeze or enhancing subsidence could allow a brief spike to 36°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding that threshold or dropping to 34°C or below before sunset. Updated model runs later today will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,953Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking pre-monsoon conditions in southern Pakistan point to a daily maximum near 35°C in Karachi on June 14, consistent with typical June climatology of 33–36°C highs moderated by Arabian Sea moisture and afternoon sea breezes. These factors suppress extreme heat while limiting cooling below the mid-30s, aligning with the market’s 98.3% implied probability on 35°C. Shifts in steering winds delaying the sea breeze or enhancing subsidence could allow a brief spike to 36°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding that threshold or dropping to 34°C or below before sunset. Updated model runs later today will refine the final reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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