Current European meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming consistent with early-season climatology, keeping the market-implied probability for exactly 21°C at 89.5%. Minor upward shifts to 22°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation strengthens more than anticipated, though model guidance shows limited disagreement on peak intensity or timing. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before the measurement window closes at Malpensa International Airport station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 17 maggio?
21°C 91%
22°C 7%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$35,227 Vol.
$35,227 Vol.
17 mag 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
91%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 91%
22°C 7%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$35,227 Vol.
$35,227 Vol.
17 mag 2026
15°C or below
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$482 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,526 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,562 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,941 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,827 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,804 Vol.
91%
22°C
$4,346 Vol.
7%
23°C
$4,081 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,628 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current European meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming consistent with early-season climatology, keeping the market-implied probability for exactly 21°C at 89.5%. Minor upward shifts to 22°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation strengthens more than anticipated, though model guidance shows limited disagreement on peak intensity or timing. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before the measurement window closes at Malpensa International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$35,227Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current European meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming consistent with early-season climatology, keeping the market-implied probability for exactly 21°C at 89.5%. Minor upward shifts to 22°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation strengthens more than anticipated, though model guidance shows limited disagreement on peak intensity or timing. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before the measurement window closes at Malpensa International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,227Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent European meteorological model consensus points to a daily maximum of 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming consistent with early-season climatology, keeping the market-implied probability for exactly 21°C at 89.5%. Minor upward shifts to 22°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation strengthens more than anticipated, though model guidance shows limited disagreement on peak intensity or timing. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before the measurement window closes at Malpensa International Airport station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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