Recent numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daytime maximum of around 16°C in Munich today under stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly winds, driving the market’s strong 54% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 15°C and 17°C, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines for the region and minimal influence from incoming Atlantic fronts. Updated observational data from surface stations this morning align with these projections, while any shift would require unexpected cloud cover reduction or warmer advection later in the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 17 maggio?
16°C 55%
15°C 25%
17°C 21%
18°C 2.6%
$23,970 Vol.
$23,970 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
25%
16°C
55%
17°C
21%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 55%
15°C 25%
17°C 21%
18°C 2.6%
$23,970 Vol.
$23,970 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
25%
16°C
55%
17°C
21%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daytime maximum of around 16°C in Munich today under stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly winds, driving the market’s strong 54% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 15°C and 17°C, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines for the region and minimal influence from incoming Atlantic fronts. Updated observational data from surface stations this morning align with these projections, while any shift would require unexpected cloud cover reduction or warmer advection later in the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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