Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 16 maggio?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,966 Vol.
$154,966 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,966 Vol.
$154,966 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near the mid-May climatological mean. This strong model agreement underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 16°C as the peak, reflecting limited afternoon warming potential amid cool boundary-layer conditions. Official Météo-France observations at 18:00 local time will determine resolution, so traders are watching for any last-hour model adjustments or unexpected cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 17°C or higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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