Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
27°C or higher 37.0%
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 4%
NUOVO
$111,670 Vol.
NUOVO
$111,670 Vol.
14 mag 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C or higher
37%
27°C or higher 37.0%
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 4%
NUOVO
$111,670 Vol.
NUOVO
$111,670 Vol.
14 mag 2026
17°C or below
$13,053 Vol.
1%
18°C
$6,678 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,976 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,132 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,364 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$20,663 Vol.
1%
23°C
$13,628 Vol.
2%
24°C
$11,657 Vol.
4%
25°C
$4,351 Vol.
29%
26°C
$4,366 Vol.
24%
27°C or higher
$13,802 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$111,670Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$111,670Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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