Latest Israel Meteorological Service model consensus points to a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light northwesterly flow. This setup favors strong diurnal heating over the coastal plain while the Mediterranean sea breeze typically intensifies by midday, capping further rises and creating the tight spread between the 29°C and 30°C brackets. With May climatological averages near 26°C, current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; any strengthening onshore winds or increased cloud cover in updated GFS or ECMWF runs could shift the outcome toward 28°C or below, while suppressed breezes would favor 31°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 18 maggio?
30°C 38%
29°C 31%
31°C 21%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
31%
30°C
38%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
5%
30°C 38%
29°C 31%
31°C 21%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
31%
30°C
38%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Israel Meteorological Service model consensus points to a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light northwesterly flow. This setup favors strong diurnal heating over the coastal plain while the Mediterranean sea breeze typically intensifies by midday, capping further rises and creating the tight spread between the 29°C and 30°C brackets. With May climatological averages near 26°C, current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; any strengthening onshore winds or increased cloud cover in updated GFS or ECMWF runs could shift the outcome toward 28°C or below, while suppressed breezes would favor 31°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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